David S. Siroky, Ph.D. is Associate Professor of Political Science in the School of Politics and Global Studies at Arizona State University, where he is a core faculty member of the Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity and a faculty affiliate of the Center for the Study of Religion and Conflictthe Center for Jewish Studies, the Melikian Center for Russian, Eurasian and East European Studies and the Center on the Future of War.  


He studies conflict, cooperation and collective action. Most of this work has focused on three areas: the first is the sources of nationalism, particularly its separatist and irredentist strains; the second concerns the causes, consequences and dynamics of insurgency, collective violence and counterinsurgency. As a result of investigating these topics in the European periphery, especially in the Balkans and Caucasus, where several new states have emerged through secession, a third area has crystalized around the politics of small states and alliances. Finally, he is in engaged in research on methodology, especially machine learning and text mining, ethnography and experiments in the social sciences. These efforts have appeared in more than thirty peer-reviewed articles, printed in some of the leading general and specialized journals, and in a forthcoming book with Cambridge University Press. He has received grants as PI and co-PI from the U.S. National Science Foundation and the U.S. Department of State, along with research fellowships from the Fulbright Foundation, Zentrum fuer Interkulturelle Studien in Germany and Fondation Maison des Sciences de l'Homme in France. His work has been recognized with several awards, including most recently the Deil S. Wright Best Paper Award from the American Political Science's section on Federalism and Intergovernmental Relations.


He received his Ph.D. in political science and M.A. in economics from Duke University, along with degrees from the University of Chicago, the University of London and Boston University, and was the Henry Hart Rice Postdoctoral Fellow at Yale University.  




Mailing Address:

School of Politics and Global Studies

Arizona State University

P.O. Box 873902

Tempe, AZ 85287-3902


Physical Address:

School of Politics and Global Studies

Coor Hall - Sixth Floor

975 S. Myrtle Avenue

Tempe, AZ 85287-3902


Reception Desk: 480-965-8563

Fax Number: 480-965-3929

Email available via university website here








Google Scholar




2021.  David Siroky, Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Jean-Francois Ratelle and Milos Popovic, Purifying the Religion: An Analysis of Haram Targeting among Salafi Jihadi Groups, Comparative Politics    [link] [pdf]



2020.  David Siroky, Milos Popovic and Nikola Mirilovic, Unilateral Secession, Great Power Contestation and International Recognition, Journal of Peace Research    [link] [pdf]



2020.  David Siroky, Sean Muller, Andre Fazi and Michael Hechter, Containing Nationalism: Culture, Economics and Indirect Rule in Corsica, Comparative Political Studies    [link] [pdf]



2020.  David Aprasidze and David Siroky, Technocratic Populism in Hybrid Regimes, Politics and Governance    8(4): 580-589. [link] [pdf]



2020.  Nikola Mirilovic and David Siroky, International Recognition, Religion and the Status of Western Sahara, Acta Politica    [link] [pdf]



2020.  David Siroky, Carolyn Warner, Gabrielle Crawford, Anna Berlin and Steven Neuberg, Grievances and Rebellion: Comparing Relative Deprivation and Horizontal Inequality, Conflict Management and Peace Science    37(6): 694-715. [link] [pdf]



2020.  Lenka Bustikova, David Siroky, Saud Alashri, and Sultan Alzahari, Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A New Probabilistic Time Series Text Mining Approach, Political Analysis   28(1): 47-64.  [link] [pdf]



2019.  Giorgi Gvalia, Bidzina Lebanidze and David Siroky, Neoclassical Realism and Small States: Systemic Constraints and Domestic Filters in Georgia's Foreign Policy, East European Politics   35(1): 21-51.  [link] [pdf]



2019.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Namig Abbasov and David Siroky, Frankenstein in Grozny: Cracks in the Foundation of Kadyrov's Rule, Europe Asia Journal   24(2): 226-243.  [link] [pdf]



2018.  Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky , Joining the Club: Explaining Alliance Preferences in the South Caucasus, Caucasus Survey   6(3): 252-267.  [link]   [pdf]



2017.  David S. Siroky and Christopher W. Hale, Inside Irredentism: A Global Empirical Analysis, American Journal of Political Science   61(1): 117-128.  [link]   [pdf]



2017.  David S. Siroky, Alan J. Simmons and Giorgi Gvalia, Bourbon or Vodka? Foreign Policy Preferences toward Russia and the US in Georgia, Foreign Policy Analysis   13(2): 500-518.  [link] [pdf]



2017.  Petra Guasti, David S. Siroky and Daniel Stockemer, Judgment without Justice: On the Efficacy of the European Human Rights Regime, Democratization   24(2): 226-243.  [link] [pdf]



2017.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, International Recognition and Religion: A Quantitative Analysis of Kosovo's Contested Status, International Interactions   43(4): 668-687.  [link] [pdf]



2017.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Cultural Legacies and Political Preferences: The Failure of Separatism in the Swiss Jura, European Political Science Review   9(2): 303-327.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Centre-Periphery Bargaining in the Age of Democracy, Swiss Political Science Review. 22(4): 439-453.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov and David S. Siroky, Random or Retributive? Indiscriminate Violence in the Chechen Wars, World Politics. 68(4): 677-712.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  Valery Dzutsati, David S. Siroky and Khasan Dzutsev, The Political Economy of Support for Sharia, Politics and Religion. 9(4): 695-719.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky and Michael Hechter, Ethnicity, Class and Civil War: The Role of Hierarchy, Segmentation and Crosscutting Cleavages, Civil Wars. 18(1): 91-107.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David Muchlinski, David S. Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Kocher, Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data, Political Analysis. 24(1): 87-103.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky, The Sources of Secessionist War: The Interaction of Local Control and Foreign Forces in Post-Soviet Georgia, Caucasus Survey 4(1): 63-91.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky and Ceyhun Mahmudlu, E Pluribus Unum? Ethnicity, Islam and the Construction of Identity in Azerbaijan, Problems of Post-Communism. 63(2): 94-107.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, The Empire Strikes Back: Ethnicity, Terrain and Indiscriminate Violence in Counterinsurgencies, Social Science Quarterly, 96(3): 807-829.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  Saud Al-Ashri, Sultan Alzahrani, Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky and Hasan Davulcu, What Animates Political Debates? Analyzing Ideological Perspectives between Opposing Parties, Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, (SocialCom-15), Stanford, CA.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, Two States in the Holy Land? International Recognition and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Politics and Religion, 8(2): 263-285.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  David S. Siroky and John Cuffe, Lost Autonomy, Nationalism and Separatism, Comparative Political Studies, 48(1): 3-34.  [link] [pdf]



2014.  David S. Siroky and Hans-Joerg Sigwart, Principle and Prudence: Rousseau on Private Property and Inequality, Polity, 46(3): 381-406.  [link] [pdf]



2014.  Idean Salehyan, David S. Siroky and Reed Wood, External Rebel Sponsorship and Civilian Abuse: A Principal Agent Analysis of Wartime Atrocities, International Organization, 68(3): 633-661.  [link] [pdf]



2013.  David S. Siroky, Valeriy Dzutsev and Michael Hechter, The Differential Demand for Indirect Rule: Evidence from the North Caucasus, Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(3): 268-286.  [link] [pdf]



2013.  Giorgi Gvalia, David S. Siroky, Bidzina Lebanidze and Zurab Iashvili, Thinking Outside the Bloc: Explaining the Foreign Policies of Small States, Security Studies, 22(1): 98-131.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, Rational or Reckless? Georgia's Zugzwang in the Caucasus, Nationalities Papers, 40(3): 303-314.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  David S. Siroky, Each Man for Himself? Rival Theories of Alliance Economics in the Early State System, Defence and Peace Economics, 23(4): 321-330.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  Jason Guss and David S. Siroky, Living with Heterogeneity: Bridging the Ethnic Divide in Bosnia and Beyond, Comparative Sociology, 11(3): 304-324.  [link] [pdf]



2011.  David S. Siroky and Davit Aprasidze, Guns, Roses and Democratization: Huntington's Secret Admirer in the Caucasus, Democratization, 18(6): 1227-1245.  [link] [pdf]



2010.  Davit Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Frozen Transitions and Unfrozen Conflicts, Yale Journal of International Affairs, 5: 121-136.   [link] [pdf]



2009.  David S. Siroky, Navigating Random Forests and Advances in Algorithmic Modeling, Statistics Surveys, 3: 147-163.  [link] [pdf]