David S. Siroky, Ph.D. is Associate Professor of Political Science in the School of Politics and Global Studies at Arizona State University, where he is a core faculty member of the Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity and a faculty affiliate of the Center for the Study of Religion and Conflictthe Center for Jewish Studies, the Melikian Center for Russian, Eurasian and East European Studies and the Center on the Future of War.  


His research focuses on nationalism, particularly its separatist and irredentist strains, and on violent conflict. As a result of investigating these topics in the European periphery, he has also developed a strong interest in the politics of small states.  The unifying thread is an intellectual and practical interest in understanding the roots of social and political conflict, and in uncovering successful strategies to subdue it in divided societies and volatile regions.


His publications appear in some of the leading journals and have been supported by grants from the U.S. National Science Foundation, the U.S. Department of State, the Fulbright Foundation, Fondation Maison des Sciences de l'Homme and the Open Science Foundation. He received his Ph.D. in Political Science and M.A. in Economics from Duke University and was then the Henry Hart Rice Postdoctoral Fellow at Yale University before arriving at ASU. In 2013, he was named Distinguished Professor of the Year in Political Science at ASU.  




Mailing Address:

School of Politics and Global Studies

Arizona State University

P.O. Box 873902

Tempe, AZ 85287-3902


Physical Address:

School of Politics and Global Studies

Coor Hall - Sixth Floor

975 S. Myrtle Avenue

Tempe, AZ 85287-3902


Reception Desk: 480-965-8563

Fax Number: 480-965-3929

Email available via university website here








Google Scholar




2019.  Lenka Bustikova, David Siroky, Saud Alashri, and Sultan Alzahari, Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A New Probabilistic Time Series Text Mining Approach, Political Analysis   Online first.  [link] [pdf]



2019.  Giorgi Gvalia, Bidzina Lebanidze and David Siroky, Neoclassical Realism and Small States: Systemic Constraints and Domestic Filters in Georgia's Foreign Policy, East European Politics   35(1), 21-51.  [link] [pdf]



2019.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Namig Abbasov and David Siroky, Frankenstein in Grozny: Cracks in the Foundation of Kadyrov's Rule , Europe Asia Journal   24(2): 226-243.  [link] [pdf]



2018.  Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky , Joining the Club: Explaining Alliance Preferences in the South Caucasus, Caucasus Survey   6(3): 252-267.  [link] .  [PDF]



2017.  David S. Siroky and Christopher W. Hale, Inside Irredentism: A Global Empirical Analysis, American Journal of Political Science   61(1): 117-128.  [link] .  [PDF]



2017.  David S. Siroky, Alan J. Simmons and Giorgi Gvalia, Bourbon or Vodka? Foreign Policy Preferences toward Russia and the US in Georgia, Foreign Policy Analysis   13(2): 500-518.  [link] .  [PDF]



2017.  Petra Guasti, David S. Siroky and Daniel Stockemer, Judgment without Justice: On the Efficacy of the European Human Rights Regime, Democratization   24(2): 226-243.  [link] [pdf]



2017.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, International Recognition and Religion: A Quantitative Analysis of Kosovo's Contested Status, International Interactions   43(4): 668-687.  [link] [pdf]



2017.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Cultural Legacies and Political Preferences: The Failure of Separatism in the Swiss Jura, European Political Science Review   9(2): 303-327.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Centre-Periphery Bargaining in the Age of Democracy, Swiss Political Science Review. 22(4): 439-453.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  Emil Aslan Souleimanov and David S. Siroky, Random or Retributive? Indiscriminate Violence in the Chechen Wars, World Politics. 68(4): 677-712.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  Valery Dzutsati, David S. Siroky and Khasan Dzutsev, The Political Economy of Support for Sharia, Politics and Religion. 9(4): 695-719.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky and Michael Hechter, Ethnicity, Class and Civil War: The Role of Hierarchy, Segmentation and Crosscutting Cleavages, Civil Wars. 18(1): 91-107.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David Muchlinski, David S. Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Kocher, Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data, Political Analysis. 24(1): 87-103.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky, The Sources of Secessionist War: The Interaction of Local Control and Foreign Forces in Post-Soviet Georgia, Caucasus Survey 4(1): 63-91.  [link] [pdf]



2016.  David S. Siroky and Ceyhun Mahmudlu, E Pluribus Unum? Ethnicity, Islam and the Construction of Identity in Azerbaijan, Problems of Post-Communism. 63(2): 94-107.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, The Empire Strikes Back: Ethnicity, Terrain and Indiscriminate Violence in Counterinsurgencies, Social Science Quarterly, 96(3): 807-829.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  Saud Al-Ashri, Sultan Alzahrani, Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky and Hasan Davulcu, What Animates Political Debates? Analyzing Ideological Perspectives between Opposing Parties, Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, (SocialCom-15), Stanford, CA.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, Two States in the Holy Land? International Recognition and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Politics and Religion, 8(2): 263-285.  [link] [pdf]



2015.  David S. Siroky and John Cuffe, Lost Autonomy, Nationalism and Separatism, Comparative Political Studies, 48(1): 3-34.  [link] [pdf]



2014.  David S. Siroky and Hans-Joerg Sigwart, Principle and Prudence: Rousseau on Private Property and Inequality, Polity, 46(3): 381-406.  [link] [pdf]



2014.  Idean Salehyan, David S. Siroky and Reed Wood, External Rebel Sponsorship and Civilian Abuse: A Principal Agent Analysis of Wartime Atrocities, International Organization, 68(3): 633-661.  [link] [pdf]



2013.  David S. Siroky, Valeriy Dzutsev and Michael Hechter, The Differential Demand for Indirect Rule: Evidence from the North Caucasus, Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(3): 268-286.  [link] [pdf]



2013.  Giorgi Gvalia, David S. Siroky, Bidzina Lebanidze and Zurab Iashvili, Thinking Outside the Bloc: Explaining the Foreign Policies of Small States, Security Studies, 22(1): 98-131.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, Rational or Reckless? GeorgiaŐs Zugzwang in the Caucasus, Nationalities Papers, 40(3): 303-314.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  David S. Siroky, Each Man for Himself? Rival Theories of Alliance Economics in the Early State System, Defence and Peace Economics, 23(4): 321-330.  [link] [pdf]



2012.  Jason Guss and David S. Siroky, Living with Heterogeneity: Bridging the Ethnic Divide in Bosnia and Beyond, Comparative Sociology, 11(3): 304-324.  [link] [pdf]



2011.  David S. Siroky and Davit Aprasidze, Guns, Roses and Democratization: HuntingtonŐs Secret Admirer in the Caucasus, Democratization, 18(6): 1227-1245.  [link] [pdf]



2010.  Davit Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Frozen Transitions and Unfrozen Conflicts, Yale Journal of International Affairs, 5: 121-136.   [link] [pdf]



2009.  David S. Siroky, Navigating Random Forests and Advances in Algorithmic Modeling, Statistics Surveys, 3: 147-163.  [link] [pdf]